Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.097065 0.112328 0.128989 0.148498 0.170685 0.195102 0.223976
2024-12-29 0.076759 0.097664 0.122481 0.153989 0.192793 0.238876 0.297596
2025-01-05 0.060747 0.084159 0.114106 0.154931 0.208805 0.277095 0.369782
2025-01-12 0.047548 0.071241 0.103684 0.150845 0.217034 0.305896 0.433339
2025-01-19 0.038471 0.061926 0.096093 0.148713 0.226723 0.336891 0.502676
2025-01-26 0.034065 0.058420 0.095883 0.156551 0.250841 0.389883 0.607828
2025-02-02 0.030322 0.055157 0.095325 0.163439 0.273939 0.443361 0.718804
2025-02-09 0.025080 0.048410 0.088090 0.158525 0.277727 0.467592 0.787432
2025-02-16 0.021451 0.043764 0.083525 0.157139 0.286627 0.500136 0.871515
2025-02-23 0.018087 0.038961 0.077895 0.152977 0.290049 0.523666 0.942596
2025-03-02 0.015444 0.035049 0.073241 0.149797 0.294539 0.548984 1.018393
2025-03-09 0.013871 0.033012 0.071797 0.152298 0.309338 0.593110 1.129943
2025-03-16 0.011759 0.029490 0.067001 0.147865 0.311046 0.614781 1.205051
2025-03-23 0.010965 0.028759 0.067815 0.154756 0.335283 0.679753 1.364394
2025-03-30 0.009832 0.027027 0.066239 0.156477 0.349432 0.727097 1.495105
2025-04-06 0.008462 0.024441 0.062377 0.152761 0.352009 0.752373 1.585963
2025-04-13 0.007405 0.022434 0.059512 0.150821 0.358000 0.784730 1.693082
2025-04-20 0.007062 0.022258 0.060960 0.158883 0.386366 0.864440 1.900483
2025-04-27 0.006685 0.021912 0.061933 0.165933 0.413182 0.943111 2.111752
2025-05-04 0.005763 0.019809 0.058143 0.160986 0.412290 0.963584 2.204621
2025-05-11 0.005120 0.018396 0.055919 0.159599 0.419427 1.001692 2.337306
2025-05-18 0.004448 0.016738 0.052764 0.155387 0.419336 1.023892 2.437508
2025-05-25 0.003899 0.015351 0.050131 0.152167 0.421248 1.050587 2.549372